ABSTRACT
Objective
To compare the accuracy of INTERGROWTH-21 (IG-21) versus Hadlock1 formulae for birth
weight prediction on third-trimester ultrasound in a North American population.
Methods
This single-centre retrospective cohort study included all pregnant patients who had
a third-trimester ultrasound between 340 and 366 weeks gestation and delivered a term singleton at our maternal–fetal medicine reference
centre between April 1 and July 30, 2019. Estimated ultrasound fetal weight was calculated
with both Hadlock1 and IG-21 formulae for each fetus, then reported on a centile curve
to adjust for gestational age at delivery, and compared with the actual birth weight.
Results
The cohort included 600 women. The IG-21 formula had a comparable accuracy to Hadlock1
with mean absolute percentage errors (MAPEs) of 8.64 and 8.86, respectively (P = 0.191). Success rate, defined by a <10% discrepancy range of the actual birth weight,
was significantly higher for IG-21 than for Hadlock1 (67.5% vs. 64.3%; P = 0.044).
Conclusion
Our results do not support the superiority of IG-21 to Hadlock1. There is a need for
continued research to improve birth weight prediction with the ultimate objective
of increasing the detection of small for gestation age and macrosomic fetuses.
RÉSUMÉ
Objectif
Comparer l'exactitude de prédiction échographique du poids à la naissance de la formule INTERGROWTH-21
(IG-21) et de la formule de Hadlock 1 au troisième trimestre dans une population nord-américaine.
Méthodologie
Cette étude rétrospective de cohorte monocentrique inclut toutes les patientes enceintes
ayant subi une échographie du troisième trimestre entre 34 SA + 0 j et 36 SA + 6 j
et accouché à terme d'une grossesse monofœtale dans notre centre de référence en médecine
fœto-maternelle entre le 1er avril et le 30 juillet 2019. Le poids fœtal a été estimé à l’échographie au moyen
des formules de Hadlock 1 et IG-21 pour chaque fœtus. Le poids a ensuite été reporté
sur une courbe de centiles pour ajuster en fonction de l’âge gestationnel à l'accouchement,
puis ce poids ajusté a été comparé au poids réel à la naissance.
Résultats
La cohorte comptait 600 femmes. La formule IG-21 avait une précision comparable à
celle de la formule Hadlock 1 avec un pourcentage d'erreur absolu moyen de 8,64 et
8,86, respectivement (p = 0,191). Le taux de réussite, défini par un écart de moins de 10 % du poids réel
à la naissance, était significativement plus élevé avec la formule IG-21 comparativement
à la formule de Hadlock 1 (67,5 % vs 64,3 %; p = 0,044).
Conclusion
Nos résultats n'appuient pas la supériorité de la formule IG-21 par rapport à la formule
de Hadlock 1. Il est nécessaire de poursuivre les recherches afin d'améliorer la prédiction
du poids à la naissance dans l'objectif ultime d'augmenter la détection de l'hypotrophie
et de la macrosomie fœtales.
Keywords
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Article info
Publication history
Published online: March 30, 2021
Footnotes
Disclosures: The authors declare they have nothing to disclose.
All authors have indicated they meet the journal's requirements for authorship.
Identification
Copyright
© 2021 The Society of Obstetricians and Gynaecologists of Canada/La Société des obstétriciens et gynécologues du Canada. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.